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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-08-05 01:22:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 042322 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Aug 4 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad and elongated area of low pressure is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity several hundred miles south and southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. This system has not become better organized during the past 24 hours. However, environmental conditions appear conducive for this system to consolidate and develop during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the early or middle part of next week while moving west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean Sea. Development is expected to be slow during the next day or two as the disturbance moves west- northwestward at about 15 mph across the western Caribbean. By the end of the weekend or early next week, environmental conditions appear more conducive for development when the system moves near or over the Yucatan Peninsula and the Bay of Campeche. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

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