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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-08-05 07:22:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 050522 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Aug 5 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms extending from the Cabo Verde Islands southwestward across the tropical Atlantic are associated with an elongated area of low pressure. This system remains poorly organized, but environmental conditions are expected to become a little more favorable for this system to consolidate, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves toward the west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the south-central Caribbean Sea. The wave is moving westward at 15 mph and development, if any, during the next day or two will likely to be slow. Conditions could become a little more favorable for tropical cyclone formation early next week if the disturbance moves over the southern Bay of Campeche. There is also a possibility that the wave moves over Central America, and in that case no development is anticipated. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

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