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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-08-05 13:29:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 051129 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Aug 5 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure extending more than a thousand miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands have not shown signs of organization during the past day or two. However, environmental conditions still appear conducive for this system to consolidate and become better organized, and a tropical depression could form next week while moving west-northwestward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased overnight near a tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea. This system is expected to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, and some development is possible over the northwestern Caribbean Sea before it reaches the Yucatan peninsula on Tuesday, and then again during the middle part of next week while it is over the Bay of Campeche. Development would likely not occur if the system moves inland over Central America and southeastern Mexico and does not re-emerge over water. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

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