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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-08-06 07:54:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 060554 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Aug 6 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a strong tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea have changed little. However, further development of this system is possible while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form over the northwestern Caribbean Sea before it reaches the Yucatan peninsula late Monday or Tuesday. Even if formation does not occur before the system reaches the Yucatan peninsula, a tropical depression or tropical storm could form over the Bay of Campeche by midweek. Development would likely not occur if the system moves inland over Central America and southeastern Mexico and does not re-emerge over water. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon, if necessary. Interests along the coasts of Honduras, Belize, and the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure located about 1100 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has changed little during the past several hours. Some slow development is still possible during the next two to three days before the system encounters less favorable environmental conditions by the middle of the week. This system is expected to move generally west-northwestward across the tropical Atlantic at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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