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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-08-06 19:32:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 061732 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Aug 6 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite data indicate that a broad area of low pressure has formed over the western Caribbean Sea about 150 miles east of the eastern coast of Honduras. In addition, winds just below tropical-storm-force are occurring to the northeast of the center. The associated showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized, and a tropical depression or tropical storm will likely form before the low reaches the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico late Monday or early Tuesday. After the system crosses the Yucatan Peninsula, it is expected to move across the Bay of Campeche by midweek where additional development is expected. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this low on Monday, if necessary. Interests along the coasts of Honduras, Belize, and the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system as heavy rains and strong winds are possible at those locations. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure located about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles remains elongated, and the associated showers and thunderstorms are not well organized. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next several days while it moves generally west-northwestward across the tropical Atlantic at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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