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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-08-11 07:12:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 110511 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Aug 11 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of disturbed weather centered a couple of hundred miles north of the northern Leeward Islands is associated with a broad trough of low pressure. While upper-level winds are forecast to become more favorable for development by the weekend, dry air aloft could limit the system's thunderstorm activity, making the overall environment only marginally conducive. The trough is expected to move northwestward today, then northward over the weekend across the western Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A weak and elongated area of low pressure is centered just northeast of Cape Canaveral, Florida. This low is accompanied by disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from southern Florida northeastward across the southwestern Atlantic. Significant development is not anticipated but this system could bring locally heavy rains to portions of the Florida peninsula as it moves northwestward and northward during the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

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