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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-08-16 01:24:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 152324 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gert, located several hundred miles west-northwest of Bermuda. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure located more than a thousand miles east of the Lesser Antilles remains disorganized. This system is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph across the tropical Atlantic Ocean, crossing into the Caribbean Sea on Friday. Some slow development of this system is possible before it moves into the Caribbean Sea, where environmental conditions are expected to be less conducive for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Upper-level winds are likely to become less favorable for development by this weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to emerge over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean on Wednesday. Conditions appear conducive for some development after that time while the wave moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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