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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-08-17 19:38:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 171738 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gert, located several hundred miles south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine, located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently enroute to investigate the disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located about 1200 miles east of the Leeward Islands continues to show signs of organization. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward at near 20 mph. After that, upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A tropical wave located over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean near the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

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