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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-08-19 01:41:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 182341 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Harvey, located over the eastern Caribbean Sea. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of disturbed weather located about 500 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands have become less organized since yesterday due to strong upper-level winds, and satellite data suggest that the surface circulation has become less defined. Environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for development during the next couple of days while this system moves west-northwestward at about 20 mph, and the chances for tropical cyclone formation appear to be decreasing. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A tropical wave located over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean, almost a thousand miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands, is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for gradual development over the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward at about 20 mph, but upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable by the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
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