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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-08-22 19:52:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 221751 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite images indicate that an area of low pressure over the Yucatan Peninsula, associated with the remnants of Harvey, has become better defined during the day. Environmental conditions are conducive for development when the system moves over the Bay of Campeche tonight, and a tropical depression is expected to form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday or Thursday, and move in the general direction of the Texas coast on Friday. Interests in northeastern Mexico and along the Texas coast should monitor the progress of this system, as it could produce storm surge and tropical storm or hurricane force winds along portions of the Texas coast, and very heavy rainfall across portions of central and eastern Texas from Friday through the weekend. Please refer to products from your local National Weather Service office for more information on this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the Bahamas is associated with a trough of low pressure. Any development of this system during the next few days should be slow to occur while it moves northwestward or northward near Florida and the adjacent waters. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for tropical or subtropical development by the weekend when the system begins to move northeastward over the western Atlantic. Regardless of development, very heavy rain and flooding is possible over portions of the Florida peninsula during the next few days. Please refer to products from your local National Weather Service office for more information on this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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