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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-09-30 07:32:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 300532 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Sep 30 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Maria, located several hundred miles south of Cape Race, Newfoundland, and on Tropical Storm Lee, located almost 1000 miles west-northwest of the Azores. The interaction of a weak low pressure area over central Florida and an upper-level low over the Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers that extend from the northwestern Caribbean Sea northward across much of the Florida peninsula and the adjacent waters. Due to the low's interaction with land and an expected increase of upper-level winds over the weekend, the likelihood of this system's development appears to be decreasing. Locally heavy rainfall is still anticipated over portions of western Cuba, the Florida Keys, and the Florida peninsula during the next several days while the system moves slowly northward and then westward near northern Florida and the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level low is producing widespread cloudiness and showers extending from the eastern Caribbean Sea northeastward across the Lesser Antilles to the nearby Atlantic waters. Upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive for development while this system moves west-northwestward to westward at 10 to 15 mph during the next few days. However, locally heavy rainfall is expected over portions of the northern Leeward Islands and the Greater Antilles during the next several days, with a Flash Flood Watch in effect for Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands through late Sunday night. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

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