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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2017-10-01 07:05:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 010505 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Oct 1 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Surface observations, coastal radar data, and satellite wind data indicate that the area of low pressure near the northeastern coast of the Florida Peninsula is now just southeast of Daytona Beach and is producing gale-force winds to the north of the center. Due to unfavorable upper-level winds, the low is expected to weaken to a trough and move westward across the northern Florida Peninsula and into the northeastern Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days. Even though development is not expected, gusty winds and locally heavy rains are likely over portions of northeastern Florida and southeastern Georgia tonight through Sunday night. Please see statements from local National Weather Service forecast offices for additional information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level low is producing a large but disorganized area of cloudiness and showers extending from the eastern Caribbean Sea northward across the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico to the nearby Atlantic waters. Environmental conditions are not favorable for development and tropical cyclone formation is not forecast. This system is expected to move west-northwestward to westward at 10 to 15 mph during the next few days bringing locally heavy rainfall over portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands and the Greater Antilles during the next several days. A Flash Flood Watch in effect for Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands through late Sunday night. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
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