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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-06-01 13:32:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 011132 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Jun 1 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which will run until November 30. Long-term averages for the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 12, 6, and 3, respectively. The list of names for 2018 is as follows: Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation ------------------------------------------------------------- Alberto al-BAIR-toe Leslie LEHZ-lee Beryl BEHR-ril Michael MY-kuhl Chris kris Nadine nay-DEEN Debby DEH-bee Oscar AHS-kur Ernesto er-NES-toh Patty PAT-ee Florence FLOOR-ence Rafael rah-fah-ELL Gordon GOR-duhn Sara SAIR-uh Helene heh-LEEN Tony TOH-nee Isaac EYE-zik Valerie VAH-lur-ee Joyce joyss William WILL-yum Kirk kurk One named cyclone, Alberto, already formed this year in May. The next named storm that forms this season will be called Beryl. This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next five days. The issuance times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT. After the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST. A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks. A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected changes or to modify watches or warnings. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has the option to issue advisories, watches, and warnings for disturbances that are not yet a tropical cyclone, but which pose the threat of bringing tropical storm or hurricane conditions to land areas within 48 hours. For these land-threatening "potential tropical cyclones", NHC will issue the full suite of advisory and watch/warning products. Potential tropical cyclones share the naming conventions currently in place for tropical depressions, being numbered from a single list (e.g., "One", "Two", "Three", etc.). The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of significant changes in a tropical cyclone, to post or cancel watches or warnings, or to provide hourly position updates between intermediate advisories when the storm center is easily followed by radar. The Tropical Cyclone Update is also used in lieu of or to precede the issuance of a special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates, which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header WTNT61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5. All NHC text and graphical products are available on the web at www.hurricanes.gov. More information NHC text products can be found at www.hurricanes.govaboutnhcprod.shtml, while more information about NHC graphical products can be found at www.hurricanes.gov/aboutnhcgraphics.shtml. You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at www.facebook.com/NWSNHC. Notifications are available via Twitter when select NHC products are issued. Information about our Atlantic Twitter feed is available at www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.shtml. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/HSU
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