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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-04 19:29:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 041728 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Jul 4 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located within a few hundred miles to the south of Bermuda are associated with a trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development of this system, and a tropical depression could form before the end of the week while the system moves west-northwestward and then northward between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States. The system is then forecast to interact with a frontal system on Sunday, which would limit any additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Shower activity has changed little in organization near a small area of low pressure and tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. In addition, recent satellite-derived wind data and visible satellite images suggest that the system may not have a closed surface wind circulation. Some development of this system is possible during the next day or two while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. Upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive for development by this weekend when the system approaches the Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
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