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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-05 13:47:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 051147 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Jul 5 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a weak trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of Bermuda remain disorganized. Environmental conditions are still conducive for some development before the end of the week while the system moves west-northwestward and then northward between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States. The disturbance is then forecast to interact with a frontal system on Sunday, which should limit any additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Satellite images indicate that the shower activity associated with a small area of low pressure and a tropical wave located between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles remains well organized, and a tropical depression could form at any time. This disturbance is forecast to move westward or west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. However, in a few days, upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable, and the system is expected to degenerate into a trough of low pressure before it reaches the Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
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