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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-23 19:28:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

244 ABNT20 KNHC 231728 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Sep 23 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Tropical Depression Eleven, and is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kirk, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, and on newly formed Subtropical Storm Leslie located a little more than 1000 miles west-southwest of the Azores. A broad area of low pressure located between Bermuda and the Bahamas continues to produce limited shower and thunderstorm activity. The strong upper-level winds currently affecting the system are expected to diminish, and this could favor some development during the next couple of days. The low is forecast to move westward and west-northwestward at about 10 mph over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean and by Tuesday or Wednesday, upper-level winds are forecast to strengthen again, likely limiting the development. By then, the system is expected to be moving by the southeastern coast of the United States. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form north of Subtropical Storm Leslie along a central Atlantic cold front by Wednesday. Conditions appear conducive for this system to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics by the latter part of this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Avila

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