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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-07-31 13:26:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 311126 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Jul 31 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms stretching from Puerto Rico to the southeastern Bahamas. This disturbance is forecast to move northwestward to northward during the next several days, producing locally heavy rainfall over portions of the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Florida. Conditions could become marginally conducive for development over the weekend while the system turns northeastward off the southeast U.S. coast. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing widespread cloudiness and showers over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. No significant development of this system is expected for the next few days while it moves westward at about 15 mph. Thereafter, upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become more conducive, and a tropical depression could form by early next week several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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