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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-09 20:05:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 091805 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 200 PM EDT Mon Sep 9 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gabrielle, located over the north-central Atlantic Ocean. A weak area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, centered about 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next two or three days before upper-level winds become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. This system is expected to move generally westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean for the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers located a few hundred miles north of Hispaniola are associated with a surface trough interacting with an upper-level low. Little-to-no development of this system is expected during the next day or two while it moves west-northwestward near the southeastern Bahamas. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development when the disturbance moves near the northwestern Bahamas, south Florida and over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico late this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave currently near the west coast of Africa is expected to move quickly westward during the next several days. Some slow development is possible late this week or over the weekend when the system is several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Taylor/Blake

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