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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-09 01:47:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 082346 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Oct 8 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low pressure system located about 1000 miles east of Bermuda continues to produce winds to near gale force. This system could still become a tropical or subtropical storm while it moves slowly westward through Wednesday. However, upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for further development by Wednesday evening. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Cloudiness and showers located off the mid-Atlantic coast of the United States are associated with a non-tropical area of low pressure. This low is forecast to move northward or northeastward and strengthen as a non-tropical low off the east coast of the United States during the next day or so. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics by the end of the week while it drifts southward offshore of the United States. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring strong winds, coastal flooding, and rough surf to portions of the mid- Atlantic and northeastern United States coasts through late week. Additional information on this system can also be found in local products and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A small area of low pressure is located about 300 miles south of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. While the system is likely producing winds to near gale force, the associated thunderstorm activity has recently decreased. Although upper-level winds are not particularly favorable for additional development, this system still has the potential to become a tropical depression or storm on Wednesday. By late Wednesday, the system is forecast to merge with the low off the east coast of the United States. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Blake
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