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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-09 19:45:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 091745 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low pressure system located several hundred miles east of Bermuda is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Although some limited development is still possible today, upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for further development by tonight, and the chance of this system becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone is decreasing. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Cloudiness and showers located off the mid-Atlantic coast of the United States are associated with a non-tropical area of low pressure that is producing gale-force winds. This system is forecast to strengthen as a non-tropical low off the east coast of the United States during the next day or so. Environmental conditions are expected to be unfavorable for significant subtropical or tropical cyclone development through the end of the week as it meanders offshore the United States. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring strong winds, coastal flooding, and rough surf to portions of the mid-Atlantic and northeastern United States coasts through late week. Additional information on this system can also be found in local products and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina is becoming poorly defined. Upper level winds remain only marginally favorable for some additional development today. By tonight, the system is forecast to merge with the low off the east coast of the United States. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Latto/McElroy
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