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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-12 07:40:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
933 ABNT20 KNHC 120540 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Melissa, located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of the New England coast. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in a day or two. This system is forecast to move westward toward Central America early next week, and some development is possible if the low remains over water while moving near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize. Regardless of development, this system could bring heavy rains to portions of Central America late this weekend and early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Sunday. Although tropical cyclone formation in this area is climatologically unlikely this late in the hurricane season, some development of this system is possible before upper-level winds become unfavorable by the middle of next week. This system is expected move westward to northwestward toward the Cabo Verde Islands during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Melissa are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Melissa are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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