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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-13 07:08:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 130507 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Oct 13 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Melissa, located several hundred miles south of Nova Scotia, Canada. A broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move west-northwestward toward Central America, and some development is possible if the low remains over water when it is near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize on Monday and Tuesday. Regardless of development, this system could bring heavy rains to portions of Central America during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms over portions of western Africa. This wave is expected to move off the coast later today, and although tropical cyclone formation in this area is climatologically unlikely this late in the hurricane season, some development of the system is possible during the next few days while it moves westward to west-northwestward toward the Cabo Verde Islands. Strong upper-level winds should prevent additional development by midweek. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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