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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-13 13:35:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 131134 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 13 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Paulette, located over the western Atlantic, Tropical Depression Rene, located over the central Atlantic, on Tropical Storm Sally, centered over the eastern Gulf of Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Twenty, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. A surface trough over the west-central Gulf of Mexico is producing limited shower activity. Any development of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves southwestward and then southward at 5 to 10 mph over the western Gulf of Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. An area of low pressure is located a little over a hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Although the low's circulation appears somewhat elongated, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is showing some signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development during the next day or so while the system moves toward the north-northwest at 5 to 10 mph, and a tropical depression is likely to form before it moves over colder waters and into an area of strong upper-level winds by Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa within the next couple of days. Some gradual development of the system will be possible thereafter as the disturbance moves slowly westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Berg
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