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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-22 01:05:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 212305 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Beta, located over the far western Gulf of Mexico near the Texas coast, and on Hurricane Teddy, located a couple of hundred miles east-northeast of Bermuda. Showers and thunderstorms associated with Post-Tropical Cyclone Paulette located about 250 miles south of the easternmost Azores are showing some signs of organization. Only a slight increase in organization could result in the formation of a subtropical or tropical cyclone tonight or early Tuesday while the system moves eastward at 10 to 15 mph. By late Tuesday or Tuesday night, the system is forecast to move into less favorable environmental conditions, and further development is not expected. For more information about marine hazards associated with this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of showers and thunderstorms located over the Central Bahamas, the Florida Keys and the Straits of Florida is associated with a frontal system. This disturbance is forecast to continue moving southward over central and western Cuba during the next couple of days, and then move back northward on Thursday through Saturday. Marginally conducive environmental conditions are expected when the system approaches the Florida Keys and South Florida late this week, and development, if any, should be slow to occur. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across the Florida Keys tonight, and over western Cuba on Tuesday and Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and are available on the web at www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ metarea2 $$ Forecaster Brown

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