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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-14 07:41:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 140540 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large area of cloudiness and showers located over the Bay of Campeche is associated with a broad low pressure area. Some slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next few days while it meanders near the coast of Mexico, and a tropical depression could form late in the week when the system begins to move slowly northward. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next several days. Please consult products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A well-defined, non-tropical low pressure system is located about 100 miles southeast of Wilmington, North Carolina. Satellite and radar data indicate that showers and thunderstorms have become a little more concentrated near the center this morning. Furthermore, recent satellite-derived wind data and surface observations indicate that the circulation has become better defined, although the system is still interacting with a frontal boundary. The low is forecast to move northeastward for the next few days while passing over or near the warm Gulf Stream today and Tuesday, which could allow for some tropical development to occur while the system moves away from the United States. The low should move over colder waters south of Nova Scotia by early Wednesday, ending any opportunity for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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