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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-15 22:57:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 152057 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to updated the discussion of the low-pressure system northeast of Bermuda. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fred, located over the east-central Gulf of Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Grace, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea a couple of hundred miles east-southeast of the Dominican Republic. Updated: Satellite imagery indicates that shower and thunderstorm activity has become better organized this afternoon in association with a small but well-defined area of low pressure located about 160 miles northeast of Bermuda. Environmental conditions appear conducive for continued development, and if these development trends continue, a tropical depression could form tonight while the low moves slowly to the south or south-southwest at about 5 mph, near or to the east of Bermuda. By Tuesday, upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for tropical cyclone formation. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system, and a Tropical Storm Watch could be required for that island later tonight. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Brennan/Brown

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