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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-26 01:33:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 252332 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Sep 25 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Sam, located about 1000 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands, and has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Teresa, located about 150 miles north of Bermuda. An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with the remnants of Peter is located several hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for slow development of this disturbance over the next few days as it moves northeastward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa by early Monday. Thereafter, environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure could form over the eastern or central tropical Atlantic early next week, to the west of the tropical wave that will be moving off the coast of Africa. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development of this disturbance while it moves slowly westward through the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
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