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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-27 01:40:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 262339 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Sep 26 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Sam, located several hundred miles east of Lesser Antilles. Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized today in association with a surface trough (the remnants of Peter) located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda. Upper-level winds are marginally conducive for further development, and Peter could become a tropical depression again during the next couple of days while it moves northeastward at about 10 mph. By midweek, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Monday. Upper-level winds are forecast to be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while the system moves westward to west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A broad area of low pressure appears to be be forming several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to support further development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form around midweek while it moves westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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