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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-10 01:09:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

711 ABNT20 KNHC 092309 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Oct 9 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance unit aircraft has recently been flying through the large non-tropical low pressure area located about 100 miles southeast of Morehead City, North Carolina. While the low is producing a broad area of gale-force winds to the north and east of the center, the plane did not find a well-defined center, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has not become any better organized today. This system could still become a short-lived subtropical storm through Sunday, but environmental conditions should become unfavorable for any further development on Monday. The low is forecast to move slowly northwestward and approach eastern North Carolina tonight and early Sunday. Interests in that area should monitor the progress of this system and refer to local National Weather Service office products for more information. Regardless of development, intermittent periods of locally heavy rains and gusty winds will affect southeastern and eastern portions of North Carolina during the next day or two. Additional information on this low pressure system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Blake

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