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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-12 01:20:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 112319 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Oct 11 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave associated with a weak area of low pressure is located less than 200 miles east of the Windward Islands. While this system continues to produce showers and thunderstorms primarily east of its center, strong upper-level winds will likely prohibit further development on Tuesday. Regardless of development, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across portions of the central and northern Lesser Antilles on Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Another tropical wave moving over Hispaniola is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. While environmental conditions are not expected to support development of this system over the next day or two, some gradual development is possible starting on Wednesday when the system nears the southeastern Bahamas and begins moving slowly eastward. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin

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