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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-01 01:46:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 302346 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Sep 30 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure is expected to gradually form off the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or so. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development after that time, and a tropical depression is expected to form by the end of the week. The disturbance is forecast to meander near or just offshore of the coast of Mexico for much of the week, and then begin moving slowly west-northwestward, parallel to the coast of Mexico by this weekend. Regardless of development, this system is expected to contribute to heavy rainfall across portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico that were already adversely affected by substantial rainfall last week, and interests there should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec (96E): Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure near the Gulf of Tehuantepec have continued to become better organized this afternoon. Although the system does not yet appear to have a well-defined surface circulation, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form as soon as tonight or tomorrow. This system is forecast to meander for the next couple of days before drifting northward towards the southern coast of Mexico, and interests there should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible along most of the coast of southern Mexico and northern Central America throughout this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-01 01:42:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 302341 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Joyce, located over the central Atlantic Ocean, and on Tropical Storm Kirk, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are associated with a trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form over the next several days while it moves generally northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the southern Gulf of Mexico. Interests along the U.S. Gulf Coast should continue to monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91): Satellite wind data indicate that a broad area of low pressure has formed in association with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Showers and thunderstorms continue to gradually increase in association with the system, and environmental conditions appear conducive for further development. A tropical depression is very likely to form during the next few days while it moves slowly westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-01 00:00:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 302159 TWOEP Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 300 PM PDT Mon Sep 30 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Special Outlook issued to increase the probability of tropical cyclone formation for the disturbance near the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure is expected to develop off the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or so. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to be generally conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle or latter portions of this week. The disturbance is forecast to meander near or just offshore the Mexican coast for much of the week, and then begin moving slowly west-northwestward, parallel to the coast of Mexico by this weekend. Regardless of development, this system is expected to contribute to heavy rainfall across portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico already adversely affected by substantial rainfall last week, and interests there should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec (96E): Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure near the Gulf of Tehuantepec have quickly become better organized during the past several hours. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression could form as soon as tonight or tomorrow. This system is forecast to meander for the next couple of days before drifting northward towards the southern coast of Mexico, and interests there should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible along most of the coast of southern Mexico and northern Central America throughout this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Category: Transportation and Logistics