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Hurricane Eugene Forecast Discussion Number 13
2017-07-10 22:34:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Mon Jul 10 2017 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 102034 TCDEP5 Hurricane Eugene Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052017 200 PM PDT Mon Jul 10 2017 Eugene's convective presentation has continued to wane significantly during the past six hours. Cloud tops near the center have warmed to barely -65C and the overall cloud pattern has become elongated northwest-to-southeast. The initial intensity has been lowered to 65 kt based on a blend of satellite intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB. There are no significant changes to the previous track and intensity forecasts or reasonings. Eugene is expected to continue to move in a general northwestward direction throughout the forecast period, and steadily or rapidly weaken while moving over much colder waters characterized by 25C-22C SSTs. The track and intensity forecasts closely follow the TVCN and IVCN consensus models, respectively. Swells generated by Eugene will propagate northward along the west coast of the Baja California peninsula to southern California during the next few days, causing high surf and dangerous rip current conditions. Please refer to advisories issued by your local weather office for additional information. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/2100Z 19.4N 117.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 11/0600Z 20.6N 118.6W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 11/1800Z 22.1N 119.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 12/0600Z 23.4N 120.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 48H 12/1800Z 24.6N 121.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 13/1800Z 26.7N 123.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 14/1800Z 28.3N 124.4W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 15/1800Z 29.5N 127.0W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Stewart
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