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SW Portland residents invited to Fair Housing Community Conversation + Discussion

2019-07-16 02:16:50| PortlandOnline

Participants can learn about and discuss how Portlands housing and land use history continue to shape our neighborhoods.

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Tropical Depression Barry Forecast Discussion Number 18

2019-07-14 22:33:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 400 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019 000 WTNT42 KNHC 142033 TCDAT2 Tropical Depression Barry Discussion Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022019 400 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019 Barry's convective pattern in radar and satellite imagery has continued to erode, and the center has become more difficult to locate in radar imagery. Surface observations from the Shreveport, Louisiana, area were helpful in locating Barry's position. Although sustained surface winds of 34-36 kt have been occurring during the past few hours at the NOAA NOS site at Calcasieu Pass, Louisiana (PACL1), those winds are not directly associated with Barry's circulation and are instead locally accelerated straight-line winds. Therefore, Barry's intensity has been lowered to 30 kt for this advisory, making the cyclone a tropical depression. The initial motion estimate is 360/08 kt. Barry is forecast to continue moving northward tonight around the western periphery of a deep-layer ridge, and then turn toward the north-northeast and northeast late Monday into Tuesday. The new NHC track forecast is similar to the previous advisory track and lies close to a blend of the various consensus models TCVA, TVDG, and HCCA. Barry will weaken further during the next 48 hours as the cyclone continues to move inland, degenerating into a post-tropical remnant low pressure system by Monday night and dissipating on Tuesday over the Middle Mississippi Valley. Even though Barry is weakening, the threat of heavy rains and the potential for flooding, including river flooding, will continue from Louisiana northward through the Lower Mississippi Valley. This will be the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Barry. Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 10 PM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT2, WMO header WTNT32 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov. Key Messages: 1. Life-threatening flash flooding is expected along Barry's path inland from Louisiana through portions of Arkansas, Mississippi, southeast Missouri, and western Tennessee through at least Monday. Significant river flooding is also likely across south-central Louisiana. 2. Gale-force winds, especially in gusts, will be possible into this evening over the coastal areas of southwestern Louisiana. However, these winds are not directly associated with Barry's circulation. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/2100Z 32.8N 93.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 12H 15/0600Z 33.9N 93.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 15/1800Z 35.3N 93.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 36H 16/0600Z 36.8N 92.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 48H 16/1800Z 38.2N 91.4W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 72H 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED INLAND $$ Forecaster Stewart

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Tropical Storm Barry Forecast Discussion Number 17

2019-07-14 16:51:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019 835 WTNT42 KNHC 141451 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Barry Discussion Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022019 1000 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019 Barry's radar and satellite presentations have continued to degrade, which is typical for an inland tropical cyclone. However, some curved rain bands producing sustained tropical-storm-force winds still exist over water and along the south-central and southwestern coastal areas of Louisiana. Data from the Ft. Polk WSR-88D radar indicated average Doppler velocity values of 50-59 kt at 11,000-14,000 ft between 0900-1200 UTC this morning over the Gulf of Mexico, which would yield equivalent surface winds of 40-45 kt. Thus, Barry's intensity was maintained at 40 kt at the 1200 UTC synoptic time. Since then, Doppler velocities have decreased to around 45 kt at 11,000 ft and surface winds of 34 kt have recently been reported at the NOAA NOS site at Calcasieu Pass, Louisiana. Therefore, the intensity has been lowered to 35 kt at the 1500 UTC advisory time. The pressure of 1006 mb is based on nearby surface observations. The initial motion estimate is 360/08 kt. Barry is forecast to continue moving northward today and tonight into a break in the subtropical ridge, and turn toward north-northeast and northeast late Monday into Tuesday. The new NHC track forecast is similar to the previous advisory track and lies close to a blend of the various simple consensus models and the NOAA HCCA model. Barry will weaken further today as it continues to move inland, and it should become a tropical depression by tonight if not sooner. The cyclone is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low by 36 hours and dissipate on Tuesday over the Middle Mississippi Valley. Even though Barry is weakening, the threat of heavy rains and the potential for flooding, including river flooding, continues from Louisiana northward through the Lower Mississippi Valley. Key Messages: 1. Life-threatening flash flooding and significant river flooding are still expected along Barry's path inland from Louisiana up through the lower Mississippi Valley, through at least Monday. Widespread rainfall of 4 inches or more is expected, with embedded areas of significantly heavier rain that will lead to rapid water rises. 2. Tropical storm conditions are still occurring within portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area. These conditions could continue along portions of the Louisiana coast for a few more hours. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/1500Z 31.8N 93.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 12H 15/0000Z 32.8N 93.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 24H 15/1200Z 34.2N 93.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 36H 16/0000Z 35.7N 93.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 48H 16/1200Z 37.4N 91.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED INLAND $$ Forecaster Stewart

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Four-E Forecast Discussion Number 8

2019-07-14 16:37:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 AM PDT Sun Jul 14 2019 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 141437 TCDEP4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Four-E Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042019 800 AM PDT Sun Jul 14 2019 Former Tropical Depression Four-E has been producing only small bursts of convection for the past 18 h or so. The system is moving over progressively cooler water and into a more stable air mass, so re-development of organized convection appears unlikely. Thus, the system is being downgraded to a remnant low pressure area. The global models indicate that the remnant low should dissipate by 36 h at the latest, and the NHC forecast follows this scenario. The motion is west-northwestward, or 285/11 kt. A low- to mid-level ridge to the north of the cyclone should cause a turn toward the west later today, with this general motion continuing until dissipation. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/1500Z 18.4N 115.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 15/0000Z 18.6N 117.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 15/1200Z 18.6N 119.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 16/0000Z 18.5N 121.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven

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Tropical Storm Barry Forecast Discussion Number 16

2019-07-14 10:39:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 400 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019 174 WTNT42 KNHC 140839 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Barry Discussion Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022019 400 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019 Barry continues to move farther inland with the center now located over western Louisiana. Surface observations indicate that the minimum pressure has risen to 1005 mb, and the maximum winds are estimated to be near 40 kt, based on Doppler radar velocity data, but this intensity estimate could be a little generous. These lingering tropical-storm-force winds are confined to a convective band over water and near the coast of Louisiana south and southeast of the center. The tropical storm has wobbled a bit to the left recently, but smoothing through the wobbles yields an initial motion of 335/7 kt. The system is expected to turn northward later today toward a weakness in the subtropical ridge, and a north to north-northeast motion is expected until it dissipates in two to three days. The NHC track forecast is just a little to the west of the previous one, due to the initial position being further west than anticipated. Barry is forecast to weaken as it continues inland, and it should become a tropical depression later today. The GFS and ECMWF models suggest that Barry should lose much of its deep convection and become a remnant low in 36 to 48 hours and dissipate entirely shortly after that over the Middle Mississippi Valley. Even though Barry is weakening, the threat of heavy rains and the potential for flooding continues from Louisiana northward through the Lower Mississippi Valley. Key Messages: 1. Although Barry is inland, life-threatening storm surge inundation is still occurring along the coast of south-central Louisiana. 2. Life-threatening flash flooding and significant river flooding are still expected along Barry's path inland from Louisiana up through the lower Mississippi Valley, through at least Monday. Widespread rainfall of 4 inches or more is expected, with embedded areas of significantly heavier rain that will lead to rapid water rises. 3. Tropical storm conditions are still occurring within portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area. These conditions could continue along portions of the Louisiana coast for several more hours. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/0900Z 31.4N 93.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 12H 14/1800Z 32.4N 93.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 24H 15/0600Z 33.8N 93.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 36H 15/1800Z 35.2N 93.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 48H 16/0600Z 36.7N 92.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 17/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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