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Hurricane SIMON Public Advisory Number 16
2014-10-05 16:45:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT SUN OCT 05 2014 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 051445 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192014 800 AM PDT SUN OCT 05 2014 ...SIMON CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... ...EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD AND SLOW DOWN SOON... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 117.1W ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM SSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO ABOUT 460 MI...735 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SIMON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.1 WEST. SIMON IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IS FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED BY EARLY MONDAY... FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST BY TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND SIMON SHOULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY MONDAY AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY TUESDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 8 INCHES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE STATE OF SONORA IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO. STARTING ON TUESDAY...RAINFALL FROM SIMON IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF THE U.S. DESERT SOUTHWEST. THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES. SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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