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Hurricane Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 14
2018-10-02 22:30:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 02 2018 374 WTPZ21 KNHC 022030 TCMEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 2100 UTC TUE OCT 02 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 115.1W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......110NE 130SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 115.1W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 114.6W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 12.0N 116.3W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.1N 117.8W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.2N 119.1W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 15.2N 120.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.3N 123.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 16.5N 126.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 16.5N 128.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 115.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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