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Hurricane Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 19

2018-10-04 04:35:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 04 2018 347 WTPZ21 KNHC 040234 TCMEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 0300 UTC THU OCT 04 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 118.3W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 130SE 120SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..390NE 330SE 240SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 118.3W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 118.0W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.6N 119.1W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 110SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.5N 120.4W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.9N 121.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.9N 122.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.6N 125.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 110SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 15.8N 128.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 17.0N 129.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 118.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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