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Post-Tropical Cyclone ANDREA Forecast Discussion Number 11

2013-06-08 10:32:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM EDT SAT JUN 08 2013 000 WTNT41 KNHC 080832 TCDAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ANDREA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013 500 AM EDT SAT JUN 08 2013 SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION IS ELONGATED AND DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE CENTER HAS BEEN PLACED NEAR THE AREA OF MINIMUM PRESSURE AND USING CONTINUITY. THE BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL MOTION IS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 045 DEGREES AT 30 KNOTS. THE INTENSITY REMAINS AT 40 KNOTS...BUT THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING PRIMARILY WELL EAST OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. I DO NOT HAVE MUCH MORE TO SAY ABOUT THIS POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN EASTWARD EMBEDDED WITHIN THE HIGH LATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE THREAT FOR HIGH WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND LOCALIZED COASTAL FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS IN THESE AREAS WILL CONTINUE TO BE COMMUNICATED THROUGH LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING PRODUCTS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/0900Z 40.9N 72.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 08/1800Z 44.0N 67.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 09/0600Z 46.5N 60.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 09/1800Z 47.5N 52.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 10/0600Z...ABSORBED $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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