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Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristina Forecast Discussion Number 26
2020-07-13 04:40:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Sun Jul 12 2020 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 130239 TCDEP5 Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristina Discussion Number 26 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052020 800 PM PDT Sun Jul 12 2020 Cristina has lacked deep convection for more than 12 hours and is now a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds. The system has therefore become a remnant low and this is the last NHC advisory. The estimated intensity is 30 kt, assuming some spin down has occurred since the last advisory. Cristina is moving westward near 10 kt, and low-level easterly flow should steer the remnant low on this general heading for the next few days. The cyclone is moving over sea surface temperatures of about 23 deg C that will prevent the redevelopment of organized convection. Cristina should continue to gradually spin down during the next 2-3 days until it opens into a trough and dissipates. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/0300Z 20.7N 126.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 13/1200Z 21.0N 128.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 14/0000Z 21.5N 130.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 14/1200Z 22.0N 133.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 15/0000Z 22.6N 136.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 15/1200Z 22.9N 139.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky [ more ]
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