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Post-Tropical Cyclone DALILA Forecast Discussion Number 31
2013-07-07 10:36:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT SUN JUL 07 2013 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 070836 TCDEP4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DALILA DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042013 200 AM PDT SUN JUL 07 2013 DALILA LOST ALL OF ITS DEEP CONVECTION SEVERAL HOURS AGO. ALTHOUGH A SMALL PATCH OF SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS REDEVELOPED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER...THIS CERTAINLY DOES NOT MEET THE ORGANIZED CONVECTION REQUIREMENT FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE. IN FACT...DALILA HAS NOT PRODUCED SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION FOR SOME TIME. THEREFORE...DALILA IS NOW CLASSIFIED AS A REMNANT LOW...AND THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS HELD AT 25 KT...IN AGREEMENT WITH AN ASCAT PASS FROM AROUND 0430 UTC. THE REMNANT LOW IS DRIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN EASTWARD LATER TODAY...AND THEN NORTHWARD ON MONDAY AS IT GETS DRAWN INTO THE CIRCULATION OF ERICK. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED IN A COUPLE OF DAYS...IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE GFS AND ECMWF GUIDANCE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/0900Z 16.8N 113.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 07/1800Z 16.8N 112.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 08/0600Z 17.1N 112.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 08/1800Z 18.0N 112.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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