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Post-Tropical Cyclone DORIAN Forecast Discussion Number 18

2013-08-03 22:32:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM EDT SAT AUG 03 2013 000 WTNT44 KNHC 032031 TCDAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORIAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 500 PM EDT SAT AUG 03 2013 THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION FOR MOST OF THE DAY...AND IT IS DIFFICULT TO ASCERTAIN IF A CLOSED CIRCULATION STILL EXISTS. ON THIS BASIS...THE DEPRESSION IS NOW CONSIDERED A REMNANT LOW. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ABOUT 15 TO 20 KNOTS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE FLOW AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH. THE LOW COULD STILL DEVELOP INTERMITTENT CONVECTION BEFORE DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR SO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/2100Z 31.7N 77.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 04/0600Z 33.0N 75.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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