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Post-Tropical Cyclone ERICK Forecast Discussion Number 21
2013-07-09 16:31:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT TUE JUL 09 2013 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 091431 TCDEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013 800 AM PDT TUE JUL 09 2013 ERICK HAS BEEN DEVOID OF ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION FOR AT LEAST 12 HOURS NOW...WHICH MEANS THE SYSTEM HAS DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT LOW. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 7-8 KT FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WHICH WILL KEEP THE SYSTEM OVER 20-21C SST WATER. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN THE REMNANT LOW OF ERICK DISSIPATING WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR BY 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/1500Z 24.4N 113.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 10/0000Z 25.1N 114.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 10/1200Z 25.7N 115.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 11/0000Z 26.3N 117.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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