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Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay Forecast Discussion Number 8

2020-07-11 10:33:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020 000 WTNT41 KNHC 110833 TCDAT1 Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062020 500 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020 The system has lacked significant organized deep convection for some time now, and therefore it has degenerated into a post-tropical low pressure system. The maximum sustained winds are estimated, perhaps generously, at 30 kt over the Atlantic waters well to the southeast of the center. Continued weakening is likely, and the cyclone should dissipate over eastern Canada by late Sunday. The low is moving just east of due north or around 010/15 kt. Over the next day or so, the system should continue to move between a mid-level ridge over the northwestern Atlantic and a trough near the Great Lakes until it loses its identity. This is the last advisory on this system. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/0900Z 42.4N 73.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 11/1800Z 45.3N 72.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 24H 12/0600Z 49.0N 70.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 36H 12/1800Z 52.5N 67.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 48H 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch [ more ]

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