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Post-Tropical Cyclone GEORGETTE Forecast Discussion Number 24
2016-07-27 16:44:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT WED JUL 27 2016 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 271444 TCDEP3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082016 800 AM PDT WED JUL 27 2016 Georgette has been devoid of organized deep convection since about 0100 UTC. The cyclone is currently located over 24.5 deg C SSTs and moving toward colder water. In addition, Georgette has entrained a large field of stable stratocumulus clouds, which now completely encircle the system. Therefore, Georgette is now declared a remnant low, and this is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. The initial intensity of 30 kt is based on a 0534Z ASCAT-A scatterometer pass that contained one 34-kt wind vector, and an assumed gradual spin-down of the circulation since then. The initial motion estimate is 300/08 kt. A west-northwestward to westward motion at about the same forward speed is expected during the next couple of days while the low continues to weaken. Dissipation is forecast to occur by 72 hours. Even though Georgette is no longer a tropical cyclone, recent altimeter data indicated that an area of seas higher than 12 ft still existed near the system. For additional information, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN02 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/1500Z 19.5N 129.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 28/0000Z 20.1N 130.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 28/1200Z 20.8N 132.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 29/0000Z 21.1N 134.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 29/1200Z 21.0N 137.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart
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