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Post-Tropical Cyclone LINDA Forecast Discussion Number 20
2015-09-10 22:32:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT THU SEP 10 2015 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 102032 TCDEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152015 200 PM PDT THU SEP 10 2015 Linda is now a swirl of low clouds that has been devoid of deep convection for more than 12 hours. Based on the lack of convection, Linda is now a post-tropical cyclone and this will be the last NHC advisory. The initial intensity is set to 30 kt based on a blend of the latest Dvorak fixes from TAFB and SAB. The circulation of Linda should gradually spin down over the next 2 to 3 days until the cyclone dissipates. The initial motion estimate remains 320/06. The remnant low should gradually turn toward the west-northwest and then toward the west over the next 2 days as the low becomes steered by the low-level flow. A turn to the south of due west is shown at 72 hours. The new NHC track forecast is a little to the north of the previous one based on the latest trends in the track guidance. Large swells from Linda are affecting the Pacific coast of the Baja California peninsula and southern California. These swells could continue for another day or so. In addition, some of Linda's mid- and upper-level moisture is spreading northward into portions of the southwestern U.S., which could trigger locally heavy rainfall. For additional information, please consult products issued by the NOAA Weather Prediction Center and your local NWS forecast office. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN01 KWBC, and on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEP1.shtml. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/2100Z 26.4N 119.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 11/0600Z 26.9N 119.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 11/1800Z 27.4N 120.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 12/0600Z 27.7N 121.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 12/1800Z 27.8N 122.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 13/1800Z 27.2N 123.2W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brennan
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