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Remnants of ODILE Forecast Discussion Number 31
2014-09-17 22:24:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT WED SEP 17 2014 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 172024 TCDEP5 REMNANTS OF ODILE DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152014 200 PM PDT WED SEP 17 2014 Satellite and surface observations indicate that the low-level circulation of Odile is becoming elongated and losing definition over extreme northwestern mainland Mexico, with a number of small cloud swirls rotating within a broad cyclonic envelope. In addition, the remaining deep convection is becoming increasingly displaced from the decaying surface center. Based on these observations, Odile is no longer considered a tropical cyclone and this will be the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center. Because the remnants of Odile continue to represent a significant rainfall threat, the NOAA Weather Prediction Center will issue public advisories while that threat exists, beginning at 8 p.m. PDT under AWIPS header TCPEP5 and WMO header WTPZ35 KWNH. The initial motion estimate is now 045/06 kt. The remnants of Odile should continue to move toward the northeast or east-northeast across extreme northwestern Mexico tonight, and across southeastern Arizona on Thursday ahead of an eastward-moving mid-latitude trough currently approaching western Baja California. Heavy rainfall and flooding associated with the remnants of Odile will continue to be a significant threat across northwestern Mexico and the southwestern United States during the next couple of days. These heavy rains will likely cause flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. For future details, please see information from your local weather office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 17/2100Z 31.1N 112.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS INLAND 12H 18/0600Z 31.9N 111.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...REMNANTS INLAND 24H 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED INLAND $$ Forecaster Stewart
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