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Subtropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 12
2018-09-29 10:32:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 536 WTNT23 KNHC 290832 TCMAT3 SUBTROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018 0900 UTC SAT SEP 29 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 50.3W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 230 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......220NE 150SE 150SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 360SE 720SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 50.3W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 50.0W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 34.4N 51.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 33.8N 52.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 33.5N 53.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 33.2N 54.0W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 32.3N 55.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 31.0N 55.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 32.0N 56.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.2N 50.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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