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Subtropical Storm Oscar Forecast Advisory Number 1

2018-10-27 04:32:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 27 2018 000 WTNT21 KNHC 270232 TCMAT1 SUBTROPICAL STORM OSCAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162018 0300 UTC SAT OCT 27 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 45.7W AT 27/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 60SE 0SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 45.7W AT 27/0300Z AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 45.3W FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 27.2N 47.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 26.6N 50.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 25.6N 53.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 25.3N 55.3W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 26.5N 57.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 30.0N 55.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 34.0N 50.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N 45.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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