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Subtropical Storm Patty Public Advisory Number 5A
2024-11-03 12:42:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1200 PM GMT Sun Nov 03 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 031142 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Patty Intermediate Advisory Number 5A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172024 1200 PM GMT Sun Nov 03 2024 ...PATTY VERY NEAR SAO MIGUEL ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 1200 PM GMT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.5N 25.5W ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SE OF LAJES AIR BASE IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * All of the Azores A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 PM GMT (1200 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Patty was located near latitude 37.5 North, longitude 25.5 West. The storm is moving toward the east near 18 mph (30 km/h), and an eastward to east-northeastward motion is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Patty is expected to move near the southeastern Azores during the next several hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Patty is forecast to become a post-tropical low later today or early Monday. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km), mainly to the south and southwest of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.23 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Azores for the next several hours. RAINFALL: Patty is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches (25 to 50 millimeters) with local amounts to 4 inches (100 mm) across the Azores through early Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Patty will affect the Azores through tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM GMT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-03 12:41:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
451 ABPZ20 KNHC 031141 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 400 AM PST Sun Nov 3 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Lane, located over the western portion of the eastern Pacific basin. Southwest of Southwestern Mexico (EP93): An area of low pressure located well to the south of the southern tip of Baja California is producing some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some additional development of this slow-moving small system, and a tropical depression could form over the next several days. The low is expected to begin an eastward drift in a few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-03 12:41:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 031141 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 AM EST Sun Nov 3 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean near the Azores Islands. Southwestern Caribbean Sea (AL97): Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while moving generally northward to northwestward over the central and western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the western Caribbean, including Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba. Interests in the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system as tropical storm watches or warnings could be required later today or tonight for portions of the area. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Near the Greater Antilles: A trough of low pressure a couple hundred miles east of the southeastern Bahamas continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms along with gusty winds over the adjacent waters of the southwestern Atlantic. Slow development of this system is possible during the day or so while it moves westward toward the southeastern Bahamas and eastern Cuba. This system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean Sea (AL97) by late Monday, ending its chances of development. Regardless of formation, locally heavy rains are possible during the next couple of days across the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, eastern Cuba, and the southeastern Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics