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Tropical Depression Cristobal Forecast Advisory Number 14

2020-06-05 04:34:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI JUN 05 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 050234 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020 0300 UTC FRI JUN 05 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CRISTOBAL. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH AND A STORM SURGE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 90.4W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 90.4W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 90.5W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.1N 90.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.9N 90.2W...NEAR THE COAST MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.5N 90.6W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...210NE 210SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 24.3N 90.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 180SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 26.3N 90.4W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 28.3N 90.9W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 180SE 80SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 32.6N 92.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 37.3N 90.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 90.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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