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Tropical Depression Fifteen-E Forecast Advisory Number 19
2017-09-16 10:53:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 160853 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152017 0900 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 126.0W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 126.0W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 125.9W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.7N 126.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.1N 126.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.6N 126.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.0N 126.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.7N 126.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 18.0N 128.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 17.0N 130.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 126.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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